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• Hock Seng Lee Bhd (HSL) last Friday was awarded an access road job linking Tanjung Manis’ Halal Park with Serdeng Junction, Bandar Baru Tanjung Manis and Kampung Rajang (Package A). The two-year RM47.1mil contract from the Sarawak Timber Industry Development Corp (STIDC) includes building of two reinforced concrete bridges and several culverts over minor waterways.
• From our discussions with management, the terrain involved will traverse along swampy low-lying land, which will necessitate reclamation and geotechnical engineering works. We understand in contracts as this will require highly skilled expertise – with a minimum EBITDA margin of 20% as a fair reward.
• Winning the open tender solidifies HSL’s reputable niche in marine and civil engineering, and the group’s strong footing in Tanjung Manis - SCORE’s port city and agro-based industrial hub. The group has secured more than RM600mil worth of projects from Tanjung Manis since 2003. This will more likely position HSL as capable front-runners for upcoming major contract announcement, namely the RM400mil Tanjung Manis seaport extension that we expect due by 2012.
• The latest announcement brings FY10 new contract procurement at RM262mil, 67% of our full year new orderbook assumptions. Total value of outstanding projects currently stands to worth RM1.1bil, or 3.2x FY09’s revenue.
• With the Bakun Dam now expected to commissioned by 1H2011, we gather that the energyintensive industry investments already pledged under SCORE are all but underway – awaiting just the crucial power tariff agreement between Bakun’s owner Sarawak Hidro and the state’s sole power provider Sarawak Energy. More than ever we believe the tariff agreement will release floods of contracts.
• After a seasonally slower 1Q, 2Q10 should solidify what we expect will be an astonishing FY10 (EPS +33% YoY). We project HSL to record a net profit of RM75mil this year, rising to RM93mil-114mil in FY11F-12F – translating to an impressive CAGR of 28%.
• HSL is still undervalued, with FY11F EPS currently trading at a 15% discount to its historical PE - in spite SCORE’s immense prospects, the Group’s above industry margins and powerful earnings growth.
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